With NASCAR being off this weekend for Easter, there obviously will not be a post about race predictions and statistics. However, we are over 20% of the way through the season (and just over 30% of the way through the regular season), so I think this would be a good time for some 2014 statistics.
The season started off with a bang in the Daytona 500 with Dale Earnhardt Jr. grabbing the checkered flag. After that, we saw 6 different winners; the first repeat winner of the season was Kevin Harvick at Darlington. Chevrolet has 4 wins, Ford has 3 wins, and Toyota has 2 wins. Stewart-Hass Racing seems to the top team right now as they have 3 wins between 2 drivers, but Team Penske drivers each have a win so their team seems to be at a 100% 2014 success rate for wins.
- The average starting position for a winner this year has been 10.375 with 1 win from the pole.
- 50% of the winners have started within the top 10 with 22nd being the furthest back a race winner has started.
- 4 races have been done on the East and West coasts. The West coast race winners had an average starting position of 9.75 and the East coast race winners had an average starting position slightly higher at 11.
- Of the 8 races, 3 have been delayed or postponed at least once due to weather. In the 3 races that had some sort of delay, the average starting position was 10.33 for the winner while non-delayed races had the winner starting about the same at 10.4.
- The winners have accumulated a total of over $3.8 million in winnings with an average of just north of $475,000; take the Daytona 500 out of the mix, and the average is just over $330,000.
- The maximum number of points a race winner can earn is 48 and that has been done 62.5% of the time.
The graph on the left shows the starting position of the driver who won the race; the graph on the right shows the average starting position of the driver who won the race broken out based on the manufacturer.
- Race Statistics: There have been 2,702 laps raced which is 0.82% greater than the scheduled laps (2,680 planned). There have been 4 races (50%) that went over the scheduled laps
- 3,243.983 total miles driven
- Winners have accounted for 28.98% of laps lead
- Margin of Victory: There have been 2 races that ended under caution but the other 6 have had an average of 0.588 seconds with the greatest at 1.53 seconds and the closest at 0.214 seconds.
- Intermediate Tracks: Average of 0.855 seconds
- Short Tracks: Average of 0.376 seconds (+1 caution)
- Restrictor Plate: Caution (1 race)
- Super Speedway: 0.214 (1 race)
- Lead Changes: Average of 25.625 overall; Phoenix had the lowest at 14 while Daytona had the highest at 42
- Intermediate Tracks: Average of 20.833
- Short Tracks: Average of 22.33
- Restrictor Plate: 42 (1 race)
- Super Speedway: 35 (1 race)
- Average Race Speed
- Intermediate Tracks: Average of 140.012mph
- Short Tracks: Average of 88.485mph
- Restrictor Plate: 145.29mph (1 race)
- Super Speedway: 132.987mph (1 race)
- Number of Cautions: There have been 72 cautions with each race averaging 9 cautions
- Intermediate Tracks: 22 cautions; average of 7.33
- Short Tracks: 34 cautions; average of 11.33
- Restrictor Plate: 7 cautions (1 race)
- Super Speedway: 9 cautions (1 race)
- Cautions Laps: 15.66% of the laps run have been under caution (423 laps). The average percentage of a race that is under caution us 15.4846%
- Intermediate Tracks: 117 laps; average of 39
- Short Tracks: 225 cautions; average of 75
- Restrictor Plate: 39 laps (1 race)
- Super Speedway: 42 laps cautions (1 race)
- First Caution: The first caution has come out around 7.85% of the way through the race (around lap 24.625)
- Intermediate Tracks: Average of 20.33
- Short Tracks: Average of 30.67
- Restrictor Plate: lap 24 (1 race)
- Super Speedway: lap 20 (1 race)
- Last Caution: The last caution lap has come within the last 5% of the race. Since every race has a different length, the lap number is irrelevant here.
- Intermediate Tracks: Average of 308.67
- Short Tracks: Average of 419.33
- Restrictor Plate: lap 200 (1 race)
- Super Speedway: lap 199 (1 race)
- 3,243.983 total miles driven
Here you have the breakdown of manufacturer statistics based on the track type. One thing that jumps out of these graphs is Ford needs to find some more speed, especially at the restrictor plate tracks. We have Talladega coming up very soon so we will see if they have found any more speed.
Here you have the breakdown of manufacturer statistics based on the track's shape.
- Teams: Stewart-Hass Racing, with their 3 wins, has an average starting position of 13 with their winners while Team Penske’s winners have an average of 6th.
- Manufacturer: Chevrolet winners have an average starting position of 11.25, Ford has an average start of 8, and Toyota’s sole victory started P14.
- Track Type: Short tracks have the worst starting position for winners at 15.67 with Intermediate tracks having an average starting position of 4.33. The only restrictor plate race of the season was won from starting 9th and the only super speedway race of the season was won from 14th.
- Track Shape: D-Shaped Ovals have an average winner starting 8th, Ovals have an average starting position of 11.67 (best and worst start came here), Tri-Ovals have an average start of 11, and the sole Quad-Oval winner started 10th.
Left graph is the percentage of wins by the teams; Right graph is the percentage of wins by manufacturer. We see that Stewart-Hass Racing has the most victories (3) this season and Chevrolet has won half of the races thus far. It may be too early to tell which team is going to hoist the trophy at the season's end, but Chevrolet looks like they are on their way to another Manufacturer's Championship.
Here we see all the teams and their average start and average finish. This gives us a good look as to how well teams are qualifying and how well they are finishing overall. We see that Team Penske has the best qualifying efforts thus far in 2014, but their finishes have not matched their starts. Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing on the other hand are finishing slightly better than they are qualifying.
So, there you have it! A statistical overview of 2014! To keep the article relatively short, I have excluded broken out graphs on teams and their track type and shape statistics; perhaos I will do a review soon on those. In the mean time, if there are any statistics you are interested in seeing or knowing more about, please ask me here, or on twitter.