Camping World RV Sales 301 (2013) Statistics:

Winner: Brian Vickers (lead 5.3% of the race)

Average Speed: 98.735 mph

Margin of Victory: 0.582 seconds

Lead Changes: 10

Number of Cautions: 12

Caution Laps: 58 (19.21% of the race)

First Caution: 5

Last Caution: 298

Drivers on Lead Lap: 26

 

2014 Driver Statistics

Aric Almirola added his name to the list of winners in 2014 and has all but secured a place in the Chase. Jeff Gordon is still on a hot streak and has an outstanding average finish this season. Austin Dillon improved his average finish this season while Kyle Larson’s average finish has been falling as of late.

 

 

Camping World RV Sales 301 Predictions

Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing and evenly matched this weekend in Loudon, and that is shown by all drivers being contenders to grab victory. Is it finally time for Matt Kenseth to get a win, or will another Hendrick driver add yet another victory to their total?

 

Dark Horses: Clint Bowyer

Avoid: Paul Menard

 

Team Statistics

 

Manufacturer Statistics

 

 

Camping World RV Sales 301 at Loudon Raceway: Key Statistics

Past Winners:

  • The average race winner has come from starting in the top 15 (13.6 average)
  • 10% of the winners have come from starting on the pole (Ryan Newman – 2011)
  • 30% of the winner have come from starting in ht top 5
  • Kurt Busch won in 2004 from starting P32, which is the furthest back a race winner has started
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 68.2 laps (22.66% of the race)

 

Race Speed (mph):

Average: 104.665

Minimum: 97.497

Maximum: 116.226

95% Confidence Interval: (91.784, 117.546)

Trending of the average race speed has been on the rise over time, but settling in around the average.

 

Margin of Victory (seconds):

Average: 0.847

Minimum: 0.068

Maximum: 2.738

95% Confidence Interval: (-0.76, 2.454)

20% of the races at Loudon have finished under caution; outside of that, the margin of victory has been on the rise, pushing right past the average.

 

Lead Changes:

Average: 15

Minimum: 4

Maximum: 21

95% Confidence Interval: (3.112, 26.888)

Lead changes have also been on the rise, even pushing slightly above the average.

  

Cautions:

Average: 8.6

Minimum: 3

Maximum: 12

95% Confidence Interval: (1.92, 15.28)

Caution flags have been flying less, surprisingly, falling under the average.

 

Cautions Laps:

Average: 40.7

Minimum: 15

Maximum: 62

95% Confidence Interval: (9.246, 72.154)

Just as the number of cautions has been trending downward, the number of caution laps has been doing the same thing.

 

First Caution:

Average: 35.4

Minimum: 1

Maximum: 90

95% Confidence Interval: (-30.551, 101.351)

The first caution lap has been on the rise, pushing past the average by a few laps. Last year, the first caution came at lap 5, but prior to that, it was a long green flag run before the first caution appeared.

 

Last Caution:

Average: 270.3

Minimum: 235

Maximum: 300

95% Confidence Interval: (217.705, 322.895)

The last caution flag has come out earlier (downward trending), while still hovering around the average. If that trend holds, the last caution will come out with around 30 laps to go. However, last year there was a green-white-checkered finish.

 

Drivers On The Lead Lap:

Average: 23.4

Minimum: 16

Maximum: 29

95% Confidence Interval: (14.852, 31.948)

Drivers finishing on the lead lap at Loudon has been on the decline, but still hovering around the average.