FedEx 400 Race Winner: Jimmie Johnson (68% of laps lead)

Laps Run: 400

Miles Driven: 400

Average Race Speed: 117.742 mph

Margin of Victory: 0.885 seconds

Lead Changes: 18

Number of Cautions: 8

Caution Laps: 41

First Caution: 66

Last Caution: 394

Percentage of Race Under Caution: 10.25%

Drivers on the Lead Lap: 16 (37.21% of the field)

 

Predicted

Actual

 

Matt Kenseth

Jimmie Johnson

 

Jimmie Johnson

Brad Keselowski

 

Kyle Busch

Matt Kenseth

 

Carl Edwards

Clint Bowyer

 

Jeff Gordon

Denny Hamlin

 

Joey Logano

Martin Truex Jr.

 

Greg Biffle

Tony Stewart

 

Kevin Harvick

Joey Logano

 

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

 

Clint Bowyer

Paul Menard

 

Brad Keselowski

Kyle Larson

 

Ryan Newman

Aric Almirola

 

Tony Stewart

Jamie McMurray

 

Denny Hamlin

Carl Edwards

 

Kasey Kahne

Jeff Gordon

 

 

Top 5 Precision: 40% correct (2drivers; Jimmie Johnson and Matt Kenseth)

Top 5 Accuracy: 0% correct

 

Top 10 Precision: 50% correct (4 drivers: Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, and Dale Earnhardt Jr.)

Top 10 Accuracy: 10% correct (1 driver; Dale Earnhardt Jr.)

 

Top 15 Precision: 66.67% correct (10 drivers: Jimmie Johnson, Brad Keselowski, Matt Kenseth, Clint Bowyer, Denny Hamlin, Tony Stewart, Joey Logano, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Carl Edwards, and Jeff Gordon)

Top 15 Accuracy: 6.67% correct (1 driver; Dale Earnhardt Jr.)

 

 Here is how the teams shook out after the race:

 

Team

Average Finish

Average Start

Drivers

BK Racing

33

35.67

3

Chip Ganassi Racing

12

12

2

Circle Sport

37

40

1

Front Row Motorsports

31.67

36.33

3

Furniture Row Racing

6

16

1

Germain Racing

25

22

1

Hendrick Motorsports

11

10

4

Hillman Racing

34

36

1

Hscott Motorsports

26

30

1

Humphrey Smith Racing

33

42

1

JTG Daugherty Racing

21

11

1

Joe Gibbs Racing

16.67

10

3

Michael Waltrip Racing

23

12.33

3

Phil Parsons Racing

28

33

1

Richard Childress Racing

20.33

17.33

3

Richard Petty Motorsports

14

26

2

Roush Fenway Racing

31

22.33

3

Stewart-Haas Racing

16.25

20

4

Team Penske

5

2

2

Tommy Baldwin Racing

29.5

38.5

2

XxxTreme Motorsports

39

37

1

 

Hendrick Motorsports brought home the victory, Team Penske brought home the best average finish for a multi-car team, and Martin Truex Jr. had the best finish for a single car team. Roush Fenway Racing had a pretty disastrous day when it should have been a day they were up front, contending.

 

This is the status of each team at the end of the race:

 

Team

Status

Count

BK Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

2

Chip Ganassi Racing

Running

2

Circle Sport

Overheating

1

Front Row Motorsports

Running

3

Furniture Row Racing

Running

1

Germain Racing

Running

1

Hendrick Motorsports

Running

4

Hillman Racing

Running

1

Hscott Motorsports

Running

1

Humphrey Smith Racing

Running

1

JTG Daugherty Racing

Running

1

Joe Gibbs Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

2

Michael Waltrip Racing

Engine

1

 

Running

2

Phil Parsons Racing

Running

1

Richard Childress Racing

Running

3

Richard Petty Motorsports

Running

2

Roush Fenway Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

2

Stewart-Haas Racing

Running

4

Team Penske

Running

2

Tommy Baldwin Racing

Running

2

XxxTreme Motorsports

Engine

1

 

13.95% of the field was out of the race. 6.98% of the field was out of the race due to an accident while 4.65% was out due to engine failure. Give a driver was out of the race, 50% were involved in an accident. Of the remaining 37 on track after 400 laps, 43.24% of those were on the lead lap.

 

Here is where the teams and manufacturers stand thus far in 2014:

Team

Wins

Tracks

Hendrick Motorsports

4

Daytona, Kansas, Charlotte, Dover

Stewart-Haas Racing

3

Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington

Team Penske

3

Las Vegas, Texas, Richmond

Joe Gibbs Racing

2

Fontana, Talladega

Roush Fenway Racing

1

Bristol

 

Hendrick Motorsports have been off to a “slow” start to 2014, but they have won the previous 3 (points) races. Team Penske has improved week in and week out; with both drivers already in the Chase, earning more wins is all that team wants right now. Stewart-Haas, who started out early with some results, seems to have faded recently. However, with the summer months here, look for Tony Stewart to add to the wins list for that team.  

 

 

Manufacturer

 

 

Wins

 

 

Tracks

Chevrolet

7

Daytona, Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington, Kansas, Charlotte, Dover

Ford

4

Las Vegas, Bristol, Texas, Richmond

Toyota

2

Fontana, Talladega

 

Chevrolet is leading the pack yet again; but this should come as no surprise to anyone. Once Chevy gets rolling, it seems hard to slow them down.

Now, let's analyze the FedEx 400 (race) statistics:

 

Race Speed: The average race speed in the FedEx 400 was 117.742 mph, which is 0.67% slower than the average of all (spring) Dover races (118.528 mph). Trending pointed towards a quicker than average race but we almost met the average; still, a pretty average race.

Margin of Victory: The margin of victory in the FedEx 400 was a 0.885 seconds, which is 274.94% closer than the average of all (spring) Dover races (3.222 seconds). Trending pointed towards a closer margin of victory than the average and the race did just that, though this finish is must closer than previous Dover races (statistically) due to the very late caution.

Lead Changes: The number of lead changes in the FedEx 400 was 18, which is 2.22% fewer changes that the average of all (spring) Dover races (18.4 lead changes); rounding this gives us the average number of lead changes. Yet another statistic held true at Dover!

Number of Cautions: The number of cautions in the FedEx 400 was 8 which is 7.5% more than the average of all (spring) Dover races (7.4 caution flags). Trending suggested the average was the best place to be and that basically held true as well.

Caution Laps: The number of caution laps in the FedEx 400 was 41, which is 4.15% more than the average of all (spring) Dover races (39.3 laps). Only 2 more laps of caution that the average and that is basically spot on. Boy, Dover seems to be an easy race to predict in terms of how the race will shake out.

First Caution: The first caution lap in the FedEx 400 came out at lap 66, which is 53.18% later than the average of all (spring) Dover races (lap 30.9). Trending suggested a later first caution and that held true to the pattern.

Last Caution: The final caution lap in the FedEx 400 came out at lap 394, which is 14.21% later than the average of all (spring) Dover races (lap 338). Trending suggested a later final caution and we got just that; though the trending did not suggest that late of a caution. The previous latest caution was lap 383.

Lead Lap Drivers: The number of drivers on the lead lap at the end of the FedEx 400 was 16, which is 11.25% less than the average of all (spring) Dover races (14.2 drivers on the lead lap). Trending pointed towards an increase in drivers on the lead lap, slightly over the average. Would you look at that; slightly above the average.