Race Winner: Jeff Gordon (3.37% of laps lead); Kevin Harvick lead the most laps (44.57%)

Laps Run: 267

Miles Driven: 400.5

Average Race Speed: 128.149 mph

Margin of Victory: 0.112 seconds

Lead Changes: 25

Number of Cautions: 8

Caution Laps: 47

First Caution: 48

Last Caution: 204

Drivers on the Lead Lap: 16 (37.21% of the field)

Percentage of Race Under Caution: 17.60%

 

Predicted Actual
Matt Kenseth Jeff Gordon
Jimmie Johnson Kevin Harvick
Jeff Gordon Kasey Kahne
Carl Edwards Joey Logano
Brad Keselowski Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Greg Biffle Carl Edwards
Denny Hamlin Danica Patrick
Dale earnhardt Jr. Aric Almirola
Kasey Kahne Jimmie Johnson
Kevin Harvick Matt Kenseth
Tony Stewart Ryan Newman
Kyle Larson Kyle Larson
Kyke Busch Brad Keselowski
Clint Bowyer Brian Vickers
Aric Almirola Kyle Busch

 

   

Top 5 Precision: 20% correct (1 driver; Jeff Gordon)

Top 5 Accuracy: 0% correct

 

Top 10 Precision: 70% correct (7 drivers: Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick, Kasey Kahne, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, and Matt Kenseth)

Top 10 Accuracy: 0% correct

 

Top 15 Precision: 73.33% correct (11 drivers: : Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick, Kasey Kahne, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Carl Edwards, Aric Almirola, Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, Kyle Larson, Brad Keselowski, and Kyle Busch)

Top 15 Accuracy: 6.67% correct (1 driver; Kyle Larson)

Dark Horses: Kurt Busch had a bad day while Ricky Stenhouse Jr. had a slightly better; but Joey Logano was the best dark horse pulling off a fantastic top 5 finish.

 

 Here is how the teams shook out after the race:

 

Team Average Finish Average Start Drivers
BK Racing 35.33 33.33 3
Chip Ganassi Racing 25.5 8 2
Circle Sport 40 42 1
Front Row Motorsports 37.5 38.5 2
Furniture Row Racing 21 26 1
Germain Racing 26 27 1
Go Fas Racing 34 41 1
Hendrick Motorsports 4.5 16.5 4
Hillman Racing 42 40 1
Hscott Motorsports 36 18 1
JTG Daugherty Racing 30 29 1
Joe Gibbs Racing 14.33 27.33 3
Michael Waltrip Racing 22.67 27 3
Phil Parsons Racing 33 32 1
Richard Childress Racing 15.67 14 3
Richard Petty Motorsports 16 18.5 2
Roush Fenway Racing 14.67 11.33 3
Stewart-Hass Racing 14.5 6 4
Team Penske 14.67 8.67 2
Tommy Baldwin Racing 28.5 35.5 2
XxxTreme Motorsports 41 35 1

 

Hendrick Motorsports brought home an outstanding average finish of 4.5 which blows away the rest of the field; all (HMS) drivers finished in the top 10 with Jeff Gordon grabbing victory. Martin Truex Jr. had the best finish for a single car team.

 

This is the status of each team at the end of the race:

 

Team

Status

Count

BK Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

2

Chip Ganassi Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

1

Circle Sport

Engine

1

Front Row Motorsports

Accident

1

 

Running

1

Furniture Row Racing

Running

1

Germain Racing

Running

1

Go Fas Racing

Running

1

Hendrick Motorsports

Running

4

Hillman Racing

Accident

1

Hscott Motorsports

Accident

1

JTG Daugherty Racing

Running

1

Joe Gibbs Racing

Running

3

Michael Waltrip Racing

Running

3

Phil Parsons Racing

Running

1

Richard Childress Racing

Running

3

Richard Petty Motorsports

Running

2

Roush Fenway Racing

Running

3

Stewart-Hass Racing

Running

4

Team Penske

Running

3

Tommy Baldwin Racing

Running

2

XxxTreme Motorsports

Engine

1

 

5 cars were out of the race due to being caught up in an accident. 36 cars were left running at the end of the race with 16 of those (44.44%) running on the lead lap; or 37.21% of the entire field.

 

Here is where the teams and manufacturers stand thus far in 2014:

Team Wins Tracks
Stewart-Hass Racing 3 Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington
Team Penske 3 Last Vegas, Texas, Richmond
Joe Gibbs Racing 2 Fontana, Kansas
Hendrick Motorsports 2 Daytona, Kansas
Roush Fenway Racing 1 Bristol

 

 

Manufacturer Wins Tracks
Chevrolet 5 Daytona, Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington, Kansas
Ford 4 Last Vegas, Bristol, Texas, Richmond
Toyota 2 Fontana, Kansas

 

 

 

Now, let's analyze the 5-Hour Energy 400 (race) statistics:

*Since there have only been 3 spring races at Kansas, statistics are not the best in this case; regardless, I am providing them anyway!

 

Race Speed: The average race speed in the 5-Hour Energy 400 was 128.149 mph, which is 5.05% slower than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (134.625 mph).

Margin of Victory: The margin of victory in the 5-Hour Energy 400 was a 0.112 seconds, which is 2433.04% closer than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (2.837 seconds).

Lead Changes: The number of lead changes in the 5-Hour Energy 400 was 25, which is 27.20% more lead changes that the average of all (spring) Kansas races (18.2 lead changes).

Number of Cautions: The number of caution flags in the 5-Hour Energy 400 was 8 which is basically spot on, but mathematically it was 8.75% more than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (7.3 caution flags).

Caution Laps: The number of caution laps in the 5-Hour Energy 400 was 47, which is 32.34% more than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (31.8 laps).

First Caution: The first caution lap in the 5-Hour Energy 400 came out at lap 48, which is 53.33% sooner than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (lap 29.3).

Last Caution: The final caution lap in the 5-Hour Energy 400 came out at lap 204, which is 3.14% sooner than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (lap 210.4).

Lead Lap Drivers: The number of drivers on the lead lap at the end of the 5-Hour Energy 400 was 16, which is spot on, but mathematically 1.86% fewer than the average of all (spring) Kansas races (16.3 drivers on the lead lap).

 

A Few Fun Stats:

  • Joe Gibbs Racing has the best average finish of 2014 with 11.79, closely followed by Hendrick Motorsports (13.09), and Team Penske (15.39)
  • Chevrolet (barely) had the best average finish at Kansas with 21.23 over Ford’s 21.83; Toyota was a bit behind at 24.11
  • The driver who has won the race before the All-Star Race has only won the All-Star Race 1 time in the past 10 years; Jimmie Johnson in 2012.
    • The average finish for the winning of the race before the All-Star Race is 10.5, a median of 10, and a mode (or most common occurrence) of 6
    • Plotting these numbers, there is a downward trend; this means that as the years have gone on, a ‘good fit’ line goes more towards a lower finishing  position; in this case closer to winning. But with this being a race for no points and just bragging rights, who knows what can truly happen