Matt Kenseth: Matt has an average finish of 11.7 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and as last year’s race winner, statistics say he will repeat (just as Kevin Harvick did last week). With Kenseth’s record at Vegas, it’s hard to go against him.
Jeff Gordon: Jeff has an average finish of 14.3 at Vegas, which is pretty respectable. With 7 top 15 finishes on his resume, it’s pretty easy for him to seal the deal again, and with the way 2014 is going so far, look for Jeff to do much better than just a top 15.
Jimmie Johnson: If anyone is going to rival Kenseth this weekend, look no further than six-time. An average finish of 9.7 and 4 wins is certainly nothing to laugh at.
Carl Edwards: The driver that holds the best average finish is right here; Carl Edwards at 9.67. That number is bolstered by 2 wins and 7 top 15 finishes.
Kyle Busch: Busch has an average finish of 14.7 which includes 1 win and 7 top 15 finishes in his 10 visits to the track. Being his home track, he will really want to win here.
Kevin Harvick: Last week’s winner is also pretty good here at Las Vegas with a very good finish of 11.9. Although he has no wins, he has 7 top 15 finishes which rivals the best of them.
Tony Stewart: Vegas is probably one of Stewart’s better tracks and I am sure he, and all his fans, hope he can shine this weekend. His average finish is 13.1 and he has 1 win to go along with it all.
Kasey Kahne: Kahne is someone who is looking for a solid finish and with an average finish of 14 at Vegas, this could be it!
Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Jr. is the best driver this season, which should not be a shock. His average finish is 16.8 at Vegas so look for him to continue his streak of good finishes.
Greg Biffle: Rounding out the Top 10 is The Biff, who has a very respectable finish of 13.8 with 6 top 15 finishes.
Jamie McMurray: Maybe a bit of a long shot, but with the way his season is going so far, maybe not a long shot. McMurray’s average finish is 16.8 at Vegas with 6 top 15 finishes.
Ryan Newman: Newman had a great run last week and would love to continue that, especially since his average finish at Vegas is only 19.1.
Denny Hamlin: Hamlin’s resume at Vegas is pretty good; an average finish of 13.13 is pretty good and his 5 top 15s are great as well. Look for him to continue running well.
Clint Bowyer: Time for Bowyer to start making noise; his average finish is slightly worse than Hamline’s, with 17.13, but he also has 5 top 15 finishes.
Casey Mears: Similar boat to McMurray; Mears is having a stellar 2014 thus far, but can he pull it out on the first Intermediate track? His average finish is 20.78, but since he has been smashing his previous averages, it could happen again.
Dark Horses: Joey Logano, Marcos Ambrose, Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Race Speed (mph):
95% Confidence Interval: (114.848, 149.029)
Margin of Victory (seconds):
95% Confidence Interval: -0.951, 3.554)
95% Confidence Interval: (12.711, 28.289)
95% Confidence Interval: (3.05, 13.75)
95% Confidence Interval: (15.076, 61.924)
95% Confidence Interval: (-21.921, 69.121)
95% Confidence Interval: (184.873, 297.727)