Pocono 400 Race Winner: Dale Earnhardt Jr. (68% of laps lead)

Laps Run: 160

Miles Driven: 400

Average Race Speed: 139.440 mph

Margin of Victory: 0.439 seconds

Lead Changes: 21

Number of Cautions: 7

Caution Laps: 26

First Caution: 33

Last Caution: 144

Percentage of Race Under Caution: 16.25%

Drivers on the Lead Lap: 29 (67.44% of the field)

 

Predicted

Actual

 

Jimmie Johnson

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

 

Kyle Larson

Brad Keselowski

 

Jeff Gordon

Kurt Busch

 

Carl Edwards

Denny Hamlin

 

Tony Stewart

Kyle Larson

 

Denny Hamlin

Jimmie Johnson

 

Matt Kenseth

Ryan Newman

 

Kevin Harvick

Jeff Gordon

 

Kyle Busch

Martin Truex Jr.

 

Joey Logano

Jamie McMurray

 

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Clint Bowyer

 

Ryan Newman

Kyle Busch

 

Brian Vickers

Tony Stewart

 

Kurt Busch

Kevin Harvick

 

Clint Bowyer

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

 

 

Top 5 Precision: 10% correct (1 driver; Kyle Larson)

Top 5 Accuracy: 0% correct

 

Top 10 Precision: 40% correct (4 drivers: Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Jimmie Johnson, and Jeff Gordon

Top 10 Accuracy: 0% correct

 

Top 15 Precision: 73.33% correct (10 drivers: Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kurt Busch, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Jimmie Johnson, Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon, Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Tony Stewart, and Kevin Harvick)

Top 15 Accuracy: 0 % correct

 

 Here is how the teams shook out after the race:

 

Team

Average Finish

Average Start

Drivers

BK Racing

31

38.33

3

Chip Ganassi Racing

7.5

16

2

Circle Sport

36

39

1

Front Row Motorsports

23

33.5

2

Furniture Row Racing

9

17

1

Germain Racing

23

25

1

Go Fas Racing

29

33

1

Hendrick Motorsports

14.25

15

4

Hillman Racing

33

31

1

Hscott Motorsports

27

24

1

Humphrey Smith Racing

43

43

1

JTG Daugherty Racing

21

21

1

Joe Gibbs Racing

13.67

11

3

Michael Waltrip Racing

15

14

2

Phil Parsons Racing

35

37

1

Richard Childress Racing

22.25

22.75

4

Richard Petty Motorsports

23

25.5

2

Roush Fenway Racing

24

17

3

Stewart-Haas Racing

16.75

8.5

4

Team Penske

21

5

2

Tommy Baldwin Racing

27

33

2

XxxTreme Motorsports

38

38

1

 

Hendrick Motorsports brought home the victory for the 4th week in a row (and their 3rd different driver in that stretch). Chip Ganassi Racing brought home the best average finish for a team and Martin Truex Jr. brought home the best finish for a single car team.

 

Here is the status of each team at the end of the race:

Team

Status

Count

BK Racing

Running

3

Chip Ganassi Racing

Running

2

Circle Sport

Running

1

Front Row Motorsports

Running

2

Furniture Row Racing

Running

1

Germain Racing

Running

1

Go Fas Racing

Running

1

Hendrick Motorsports

Accident

1

 

Running

3

Hillman Racing

Running

1

Hscott Motorsports

Running

1

Humphrey Smith Racing

Running

1

JTG Daugherty Racing

Running

1

Joe Gibbs Racing

Running

3

Michael Waltrip Racing

Running

2

Phil Parsons Racing

Running

1

Richard Childress Racing

Running

4

Richard Petty Motorsports

Running

2

Roush Fenway Racing

Accident

1

 

Running

2

Stewart-Haas Racing

Running

4

Team Penske

Engine

1

 

Running

1

Tommy Baldwin Racing

Running

2

XxxTreme Motorsports

Running

1

 

6.97% of the field was out of the race. Of those cars out of the race 66.67% of those were involved in an accident; the remaining was engine failure. Of those drivers not out of the race, 72.5% of those were on the lead lap. All drivers completed at least 88.75% of the laps.

 

Here is where the teams and manufacturers stand thus far in 2014:

Team

Wins

Tracks

Hendrick Motorsports

5

Daytona, Kansas, Charlotte, Pocono, Pocono

Stewart-Hass Racing

3

Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington

Team Penske

3

Las Vegas, Texas, Richmond

Joe Gibbs Racing

2

Fontana, Talladega

Roush Fenway Racing

1

Bristol

 

With Brad Keselowski’s bad luck at the end of the race, Hendrick Motorsports was able to add another victory to their arsenal this season; yet they are still waiting for Kasey Kahne to get a win.

 

Manufacturer

Wins

Tracks

Chevrolet

8

Daytona, Phoenix, Martinsville, Darlington, Kansas, Charlotte, Pocono, Pocono

Ford

4

Las Vegas, Bristol, Texas, Richmond

Toyota

2

Fontana, Talladega

 

Yup, Chevrolet is still leading the pack and pulling further away.

 

 

Race Speed: The average race speed in the Pocono 400 was 139.440 mph, which is 4.58% faster than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (133.047 mph). Trending pointed towards a faster than average race speed and this race delivered just that.

Margin of Victory: The margin of victory in the Pocono 400 was a 0.439 seconds, which is 362.64% closer than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (2.034 seconds). Trending pointed towards a closer margin of victory than the average, and that occurred as well. So far, 2 for 2!

Lead Changes: The number of lead changes in the Pocono 400 was 21, which is 8.57% more changes that the average of all (spring) Pocono races (19.2 lead changes). Trending was on the way down for lead changes but in fact, there was slightly more than the average.

Number of Cautions: The number of cautions in the Pocono 400 was 7, which is 1.43% more than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (6.9 caution flags). This is right on the money as trending (also) suggested; oh Pocono, your cautions are so predictable!

Caution Laps: The number of caution laps in the Pocono 400 was 26, which is 7.31% less than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (27.9 laps). The number of caution laps lines up with the number of cautions, which we tend to see happen at all races. Trending was pointing downwards slightly and the results followed suit.

First Caution: The first caution lap in the Pocono 400 came out at lap 33, which is 35.45% later than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (lap 21.3). Trending suggested a later first caution and that held true to the pattern.

Last Caution: The final caution lap in the Pocono 400 came out at lap 144, which is 17.64% sooner than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (lap 169.4). Again, with this being the third race at 400 miles and majority of the statistics for 500 miles, it is not a good measure. What is a good measure is the percentage from the end of the race; the statistics pointed towards lap 149. Going off that value, the last caution flag came out 3.47% sooner than the statistics show.

Lead Lap Drivers: The number of drivers on the lead lap at the end of the Pocono 400 was 29, which is 7.24% more than the average of all (spring) Pocono races (26.9 drivers on the lead lap). Trending was on the rise, surpassing the average, and this race was right on the money with the trending.

 

Overall, 7 of the predictions help true for Pocono, or 87.5% of the statistics.